The scenario for the US men's national team at the 2022 FIFA World Cup is simple: win and you are in.
USA will clinch a berth in the Round of 16 if:
- USA win vs. Iran
USA will be eliminated if:
- USA draw or lose vs. Iran
Chance of advancing (Group B)
USA are an underdog to surpass Iran in Tuesday's Group B finale (2 pm ET | FOX, Telemundo). FiveThirtyEight gives the USMNT the third-best chance to advance:
- England: >99%
- Iran: 58%
- USA: 38%
- Wales: 5%
USA can still win Group B
- USA earn first place in Group B if USA win AND England lose to Wales
- USA earn first place in Group B if USA win by 5 or more goals AND England draw Wales
Related: USA earn second place in Group B if USA win AND England beat Wales
Group B standings - Matchday 2
Team | Points | Record | Goals (for, against, GD) |
1. England | 4 | 1W-0L-1D | 6; 2; +4 |
2. Iran | 3 | 1W-1L-0L | 4; 6; -2 |
3. USA | 2 | 0W-0L-2D | 1; 1; 0 |
4. Wales | 1 | 0W-1L-1D | 1; 3; -2 |
World Cup group standings tiebreakers
- Goal differential
- Goals scored
- Head-to-head result
- Goal differential in matches between tied teams (only in three-way tie)
- Goals scored in matches between tied teams (only in three-way tie)
- Fair play tiebreaker (based on negative points for yellow and red cards)
- Drawing lots
USA: World Cup results so far
- 0-0 draw vs. England (Nov. 25)
- 1-1 draw vs. Wales (Nov. 21)